基于MCR模型和DO指数的九江滨水城市生态安全网络构建   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0  

戴璐  刘耀彬  黄开忠 《地理学报》2020,75(11):2459-2474

兼顾生态保护和经济增长的生态安全网络对引导滨水城市走可持续发展道路具有重要指导意义。本文以九江市为例,采用景观生态数据集和产业信息数据集,结合最小累积阻力模型（MCR）和连续空间的产业集聚测度指数（DO）构建了综合评价方法,分别对景观生态格局和经济生产空间进行分析,诊断二者的空间冲突确定战略节点并构建生态安全网络。结果表明：① 研究区包含重要生态源地29个,总面积为7323 km²;生态安全阻力高值区面积占39.69%,位于城市中部和东部连片区域,低值区则处于外围,且连通过渡区域较少,呈现空间上两极分化的“中心—外围”景观生态格局;② 经济生产空间临近水资源分布,呈现为小尺度集聚、大尺度分散的空间格局;主要产业集聚区的平均长度和数量均显示出重度污染行业>轻度污染行业>中度污染行业的空间关系;③ 识别出景观生态廊道总长685.57 km,选取了25个生态—经济战略节点,规划了18条总长424.53 km的重要绿带和26条总长662.46 km的一般绿带,共同构成了“蜂巢状”九江市生态安全网络格局。本文采用自然和经济条件相结合的综合分析视角,为生态安全格局的构建提供了多样化的实现途径。  相似文献   

Prediction of vegetation anomalies over an inland river basin in north‐western China          下载免费PDF全文

Jing Fu  Jun Niu  Bellie Sivakumar 《水文研究》2018,32(12):1814-1827

Vegetation cover plays an important role in linking the atmosphere, water, and land and is deemed as a key indicator in the terrestrial ecological system. Therefore, it is of great importance to monitor vegetation dynamics and understand the mechanisms of vegetation change, including that driven by climate change. This study examines (a) the evolution of vegetation dynamics over the Heihe River Basin in the typical arid zone in north‐western China using nonparametric Mann–Kendall test and Thiel Sen's slope; (b) the relationships between remotely sensed vegetation indices (normalized difference vegetation index [NDVI] and enhanced vegetation index [EVI]) and hydroclimatic variables based on correlation analysis; and (c) the prediction of vegetation anomalies using a multiple linear regression model. For the analysis, the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer NDVI/EVI product and the gridded daily meteorological data at a spatial resolution of 0.125° over the period 2001–2010 are considered. The results indicate that vegetation cover improved over a large proportion during 2001–2010, with a significant trend towards warm and wet, characterized by an increase in average annual temperature and precipitation by 0.042 °C/year and 5.8 mm/year, respectively. We test the feasibility of NDVI and EVI in quantifying the responses of vegetation anomaly to climate change and develop a statistical model to predict vegetation dynamics in the basin. The NDVI‐based model is found to be more reliable than the EVI‐based model, partly due to the vegetation characteristics and geomorphologic properties of the study region. The proposed model performs well when there is no lag time between meteorological factors and vegetation indices for grassland and cropland, whereas 1‐month lead time prediction is found to be best for forest. The soil water content is introduced as an extra explanatory variable, which effectively improves the prediction accuracy for different land use types. In general, the predictive ability of the proposed model is stable and satisfactory, and the model can provide useful early warning information for regional water resources management under changing climate.  相似文献   

Tropical Cyclone Genesis Potential Index for Bay of Bengal During Peak Post-Monsoon (October-November) Season Including Atmosphere-Ocean Parameters     

P. Suneeta 《Marine Geodesy》2018,41(1):86-97

Several studies on tropical cyclone genesis potential index (GPI) mainly using atmospheric parameters (relative/absolute vorticity, relative humidity, vertical wind shear, potential instability, vertical velocity etc.) have been reported earlier. Though the ocean plays a vital role in the genesis and intensification of cyclones, no ocean parameter has been included in most of the studies. In this study, we have made an attempt to develop a new GPI for Bay of Bengal during peak post-monsoon (October-November) season including upper ocean heat content (UOHC) using the data for the period 1995–2015. It is found that the new GPI is better correlated with the total number of depressions, cyclones and severe cyclones (TNDC) compared with the existing GPI which was developed for the north Indian Ocean and presently used by India Meteorological Department (IMD), New Delhi. The correlation has significantly enhanced (r=0.86:significant at >99% level) by using the first differences [year(0) –year(?1)] of the time series data. Since, the new GPI which considers atmosphere and ocean (UOHC) parameters, it appears to be more suitable for Bay of Bengal during the peak post-monsoon season.  相似文献   

青海东南部农村民居结构特点及抗震能力分析   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0  

杨娜  王龙  刘爱文  杨理臣 《震灾防御技术》2018,13(1):206-214

我国农村民居的抗震能力具有显著的地域特点。本文基于现场调研结果总结了青海东南部黄河流域农村民居的结构特点，并对其抗震能力进行了评估。庄廓院是调研区内的典型农村民居，本文对调研区内庄廓院的木构架房屋进行研究，提出庄廓土墙围护木构架房屋的震害等级分类标准，根据实际震害资料和类比的方法确定了当地土墙围护木构架结构的震害矩阵和震害指数与峰值加速度的关系曲线。与云南鲁甸农村的土木结构房屋比较，青海庄廓院民居具有更高的抗震能力；与未设防的砖混结构比较，这种土墙围护的木构架结构在高烈度区造成人员伤亡的风险更低。  相似文献   

Extracting water-related features using reflectance data and principal component analysis of Landsat images     

Boglárka Balázs  Tibor Bíró  Gareth Dyke  Sudhir Kumar Singh 《水文科学杂志》2018,63(2):269-284

This study aimed to map water features using a Landsat image rather than traditional land cover. We involved the original bands, spectral indices and principal components (PCs) of a principal component analysis (PCA) as input data, and performed random forest (RF) and support vector machine (SVM) classification with water, saturated soil and non-water categories. The aim was to compare the efficiency of the results based on various input data. Original bands provided 93% overall accuracy (OA) and bands 4–5–7 were the most informative in this analysis. Except for MNDWI (modified normalized differenced water index, with 98% OA), the performance of all water indices was between 60 and 70% (OA). The PCA-based approach conducted on the original bands resulted in the most accurate identification of all classes (with only 1% error in the case of water bodies). We therefore show that both water bodies and saturated soils can be identified successfully using this approach.  相似文献   

Characteristics and Analysis of the Seismic Damage from the M_S7.0 Jiuzhaigou Earthquake in the Area between Songpan and Jiuzhaigou     

Yan Zhaolun  Peng Xiaobo  Li Shuguang  Hong Haichun 《中国地震研究》2018,32(2):173-188

This paper expounds the features of the buildings and analyzes the seismic disaster characteristics of the Jiuzhaigou M_S7. 0 earthquake in the area between Songpan and Jiuzhaigou. New buildings (especially the frame structure) had good anti-seismic performance,but brick-wood structures and brick-concrete structures sustained large amounts of damage in the earthquake. By computing the seismic damage index,we found that the seismic damage index of the frame structure was far less than that of civil structures and brick-wood structures. The seismic damage index of frame structures were all zero in the Ⅵ area,and increased rapidly with the increase of intensity,but the increasing range was reduced. We also discussed how to evaluate the intensity in areas where there was a lack of buildings or there was only one structure type,which can be referenced in future field work.  相似文献   

近30 a甘肃省河东地区极端气温指数时空变化特征及趋势预测          下载免费PDF全文

黄浩  张勃  黄涛  王怀军  马尚谦  马彬  王晓丹  崔艳强 《干旱区地理》2020,43(2):319-328

基于甘肃省河东地区61个气象站点1988—2017年逐日气温数据，利用Mann-Kendall检验，Sen’s斜率估计方法分析甘肃省河东地区极端气温指数的时空变化趋势，并探讨极端气温指数与其影响因素之间的关系，最后利用NAR神经网络结合Hurst指数对甘肃省河东地区极端气温指数变化进行预测分析。结果表明：(1)从时间上看，冷极值相对指数呈下降趋势，冷极值绝对指数、暖极值以及气温日较差、作物生长期呈上升趋势。(2)从空间上看，对冷极值变化反应最为敏感的是高寒湿润区，对暖极值变化反应最为敏感的是温带半湿润区和北亚热带湿润区，除北亚热带湿润区外各区域作物生长期的变化都达到了显著水平，而气温日较差仅在温带半湿润区达到了显著水平。(3)多数极端气温指数与经纬度、海拔之间有显著相关性，但受区域自然特点影响，经度与海拔对其影响实为一类。(4)亚洲区极涡强度、北半球极涡强度以及青藏高原指数B与极端气温指数变化有密切关系，而太阳黑子等只与个别指数之间存在显著的相关性。(5)预测出的极端气温指数冷极值相对指数仍呈现下降趋势，冷极值的绝对指数、暖极值以及气温日较差、作物生长期仍然呈现增加趋势，但大多数指数与1988—2017年相比变化幅度有所降低。（6）与其他区域相比甘肃省河东地区大多数气温指数变化幅度处于中间水平，表现出其为多种不同气候区、自然区交界地带的特色。  相似文献   

“一带一路”建设背景下重庆与东盟国家贸易格局演变和影响因素分析     

杜瑜  宗会明 《世界地理研究》2020,29(4):697-707

“贸易畅通”是“一带一路”建设的重要内容，重庆作为中国西部地区内陆开放高地，贸易发展优势明显。运用贸易强度指数和HM指数，分析2001—2017年重庆与东盟国家贸易格局和贸易依赖程度，并分析影响重庆与东盟国家贸易格局的影响因素。结果表明：①重庆与东盟国家贸易联系紧密，增长速度快，贸易总额在“一带一路”沿线六大区域中始终保持领先地位；②马来西亚和泰国成为重庆与东盟国家中最重要的贸易伙伴，越南、新加坡、菲律宾和印度尼西亚紧随其后，而与缅甸、柬埔寨、老挝和文莱的贸易总额较少；③在进口方面，形成以马来西亚、泰国和越南为首的多元进口格局，泰国和越南进口伙伴地位上升。在出口方面，形成以马来西亚为首的多元出口新格局，越南出口地位下降；④在市场相互依赖程度方面，重庆出口对东盟国家特别是马来西亚和新加坡贸易市场的重要性程度上升，而对东盟国家市场依赖程度较小；⑤产业结构、贸易通道、文化交流和政策等是影响重庆与东盟国家贸易格局的重要影响因素。  相似文献   

不同高度数据联合欧拉反褶积法研究          下载免费PDF全文

周文月  陈昌昕  侯振隆  秦朋波  王泰涵 《地球物理学报》2018,61(8):3400-3409

基于不同测量高度重力场及其梯度数据可同时对应同一场源并用于反演场源位置的分析原理，拓展不同高度场数据在欧拉反褶积法中的应用范围.首先，立足于对欧拉反褶积方法的理论研究基础，提出不同高度数据融合联合欧拉反演公式.其次，在理论模型上对多种高度数据联合反演做了测试分析计算，验证了不同高度场数据融合联合欧拉反褶积法能够改善位场解释中单一观测面数据计算带来的解的发散问题，收敛过程由此改善.最后，将本文方法应用于龙门山地区实际重力数据的解释，获得了研究区断裂分布特征.  相似文献   

近30年长江口海域生态系统健康状况及变化趋势研究   总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3  

陈耀辉  刘守海  何彦龙  秦玉涛  季晓  张昊飞  徐韧 《海洋学报》2020,42(4):55-65

为评估长江口海域生态系统健康状况，本文以鱼类浮游生物为指示生物，选择1986年、1999年、2007年和2016年4个年份的数据，选取鱼类浮游生物总种类数、底栖鱼种类数、水层鱼种类数、低耐污鱼种类数、高耐污鱼种类数百分比、杂食性鱼种类数百分比、虫食性鱼种类数百分比、肉食性鱼种类数百分比、鱼类取样个体数、天然杂交种种类数百分比等10个评价指标，采用1、3、5赋值法计算4个不同年份的河口生物完整性指数(Estuarine Biotic Integrity Index，EBI)，并以此评价近30年长江口海域生态系统健康状况变化趋势。结果显示，1986年、1999年、2007年和2016年4个不同年份的EBI值分别是52、40、36、34，对应的EBI等级分别为“好”、“一般”、“一般?差”、“差”。通过分析EBI年际变化的结果，发现近30年来长江口海域生态系统健康状况呈现先下降，而后稳定在较低水平的趋势，说明长江口海域生态系统亟需及时进行保护和修复工作。  相似文献